Modelo para determinação da temperatura de água em rios
Palavras-chave:
Rio, Temperatura, Influência, Modelo, Método EMDResumo
As variações sazonais e diárias das temperaturas da água determinam a distribuição das espécies aquáticas e a química da água. Alguns autores conseguiram estimar a temperatura da água usando apenas a temperatura do ar. Uma análise de sensibilidade, bem realizada, é capaz de avaliar as variações de temperatura do rio em resposta a mudanças nas condições hidráulicas e meteorológicas. Nesse sentido, a modelagem da qualidade da água envolve a previsão de parâmetros usando técnicas de simulação matemática. Para tanto modelos computacionais de previsão da temperatura da água do rio podem ser utilizados. O método de decomposição modal empírica (EMD) é ideal para analisar conjuntos de dados como os de temperatura, que são oscilatórios. Entre os modelos de temperatura da água do rio, os modelos de regressão linear simples que utilizam como entrada somente a temperatura do ar aplicados para dados semanais e/ou mensais demonstram ter alta eficiência.
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